TerminalLAGGARD
us tech · TSLA
Tesla Inc.
$356.58-2.39 (-0.67%)
earnings n/apending
Synthesis · TSLA
tier MOD
SHORT
3/4 lanes aligned
3/4 lanes bearish. ATR-sized stop · R:R 2.3.
Entry
$356.58
Stop
$377.56
TP1
$328.61
TP2
$307.63
buy conviction
D · 26Avoid: evidence does not support a long here.
confirmation checklist
3/8 passing
- Trend stack (price > EMA20 > EMA50)356.58 / 356.75 / 358.54
- At or near 20d breakout20d high 384.04 · trigger 385.44
- RSI in power zone (50-72)RSI 50
- Volume confirmation (>1.1x 20d)0.77x
- Macro backdrop not hostileMacro BEAR
- Stop risk under 6% of price5.88% ATR stop
- No earnings inside 7 sessionsdate unknown
- Sector outperforming SPY (20d)XLY -3.1pp · #6/7
Buy trigger
$385.44
20d high
$384.04
20d low
$331.12
Invalidation
$329.72
distance to trigger +8.09% · atr stop risk 5.88%
position sizer · paper only
Entry
$356.58
Stop
$377.56
Shares
11
Notional
$3922
Risking $250.00 ($20.98/share). Educational sizing — paper trading only.
sector context
Consumer Discretionary · XLY
rank #6 of 7
20d
-5.03%
60d
-5.36%
vs SPY 20d
-3.05pp
sector relative strength · 20d vs SPY
leaders first
- #1WCLDCloud / SaaS+5.5ppLEADER
- #2IGVSoftware+5.5ppLEADER
- #3CIBRCybersecurity+5.3ppLEADER
- #4XLCInternet / Comm+4.9ppINLINE
- #5XLKMega-cap Tech-1.5ppLAGGARD
- #6XLYConsumer Discretionary-3.1ppLAGGARD
- #7SMHSemiconductors-6.8ppLAGGARD
TTechnical lane
EMA structure, RSI regime, trend integrity
BEAR
tier MOD
- EMA20 < EMA50
- Price below SMA200
- RSI 50
FFlow lane
Volume vs. 20d avg, momentum footprint
BEAR
tier MOD
- Vol 0.77x 20d avg
- 5d momentum -3.1%
NNarrative lane
Relative strength, sector tailwinds
BULL
tier MOD
- 20d relative perf 5.1%
- EV demand + robotaxi cycle
MMacro lane
DXY, VIX, 10Y yields, NDX regime
BEAR
tier MOD
- VIX 17.1
- DXY 0.00%
- 10Y +0.71%
- NDX -0.65%
Educational tool. Not investment advice. Data provided by Finnhub API.