TerminalLAGGARD
us tech · AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
$339.27-5.45 (-1.58%)
earnings n/apending
Synthesis · AVGO
tier HIGH
SHORT
4/4 lanes aligned
4/4 lanes bearish. ATR-sized stop · R:R 2.3.
Entry
$339.27
Stop
$355.93
TP1
$317.06
TP2
$300.41
buy conviction
D · 9Avoid: evidence does not support a long here.
confirmation checklist
2/8 passing
- Trend stack (price > EMA20 > EMA50)339.27 / 365.13 / 376.53
- At or near 20d breakout20d high 385.78 · trigger 386.89
- RSI in power zone (50-72)RSI 32
- Volume confirmation (>1.1x 20d)0.95x
- Macro backdrop not hostileMacro BEAR
- Stop risk under 6% of price4.91% ATR stop
- No earnings inside 7 sessionsdate unknown
- Sector outperforming SPY (20d)SMH -6.8pp · #7/7
Buy trigger
$386.89
20d high
$385.78
20d low
$337.90
Invalidation
$336.79
distance to trigger +14.04% · atr stop risk 4.91%
position sizer · paper only
Entry
$339.27
Stop
$355.93
Shares
15
Notional
$5089
Risking $250.00 ($16.66/share). Educational sizing — paper trading only.
sector context
Semiconductors · SMH
rank #7 of 7
20d
-8.75%
60d
-17.85%
vs SPY 20d
-6.77pp
sector relative strength · 20d vs SPY
leaders first
- #1WCLDCloud / SaaS+5.5ppLEADER
- #2IGVSoftware+5.5ppLEADER
- #3CIBRCybersecurity+5.3ppLEADER
- #4XLCInternet / Comm+4.9ppINLINE
- #5XLKMega-cap Tech-1.5ppLAGGARD
- #6XLYConsumer Discretionary-3.1ppLAGGARD
- #7SMHSemiconductors-6.8ppLAGGARD
TTechnical lane
EMA structure, RSI regime, trend integrity
BEAR
tier HIGH
- EMA20 < EMA50
- Price below SMA200
- RSI 32
FFlow lane
Volume vs. 20d avg, momentum footprint
BEAR
tier MOD
- Vol 0.95x 20d avg
- 5d momentum -7.9%
NNarrative lane
Relative strength, sector tailwinds
BEAR
tier HIGH
- 20d relative perf -13.5%
- AI capex tailwind narrative
MMacro lane
DXY, VIX, 10Y yields, NDX regime
BEAR
tier MOD
- VIX 17.1
- DXY 0.00%
- 10Y +0.71%
- NDX -0.65%
Educational tool. Not investment advice. Data provided by Finnhub API.