us tech · AMZN

Amazon.com Inc.

$248.42-5.12 (-2.02%)

earnings n/apending

Synthesis · AMZN

tier LOW

STAND ASIDE

2/4 lanes aligned

Lanes disagree (0 bull / 2 bear). No high-conviction AMZN setup.

buy conviction

D · 14

Avoid: evidence does not support a long here.

confirmation checklist

3/8 passing

Trend stack (price > EMA20 > EMA50)248.42 / 256.64 / 255.29
At or near 20d breakout20d high 267.56 · trigger 268.15
RSI in power zone (50-72)RSI 41
Volume confirmation (>1.1x 20d)1.13x
Macro backdrop not hostileMacro BEAR
Stop risk under 6% of price3.55% ATR stop
No earnings inside 7 sessionsdate unknown
Sector outperforming SPY (20d)XLY -3.1pp · #6/7

Buy trigger

$268.15

20d high

$267.56

20d low

$247.22

Invalidation

$246.63

distance to trigger +7.94% · atr stop risk 3.55%

position sizer · paper only

Account size ($)Max risk (%)

Entry

$268.15

Stop

$259.32

Notional

$7508

Risking $250.00 ($8.83/share). Educational sizing — paper trading only.

sector context

Consumer Discretionary · XLY

rank #6 of 7

LAGGARD

20d

-5.03%

60d

-5.36%

vs SPY 20d

-3.05pp

sector relative strength · 20d vs SPY

leaders first

#1WCLDCloud / SaaS+5.5ppLEADER
#2IGVSoftware+5.5ppLEADER
#3CIBRCybersecurity+5.3ppLEADER
#4XLCInternet / Comm+4.9ppINLINE
#5XLKMega-cap Tech-1.5ppLAGGARD
#6XLYConsumer Discretionary-3.1ppLAGGARD
#7SMHSemiconductors-6.8ppLAGGARD

TTechnical lane

EMA structure, RSI regime, trend integrity

NEUTRAL

tier LOW

EMA20 > EMA50 (256.64 > 255.29)
Price below SMA200
RSI 41

FFlow lane

Volume vs. 20d avg, momentum footprint

BEAR

tier MOD

Vol 1.13x 20d avg
5d momentum -3.3%

NNarrative lane

Relative strength, sector tailwinds

NEUTRAL

tier LOW

20d relative perf -4.9%

MMacro lane

DXY, VIX, 10Y yields, NDX regime

BEAR

tier MOD

VIX 17.1
DXY 0.00%
10Y +0.71%
NDX -0.65%

Educational tool. Not investment advice. Data provided by Finnhub API.